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We think the past week undercuts the assumption that stablecoins are on an inevitable path to disintermediate banks. The Federal Reserve proposed bank-friendly stablecoin rules. Canada's Big Six banks agreed to build shared tokenised-deposit infrastructure together, and Deutsche Bank moved to custody the coins it once dismissed. Incumbents are racing to make regulated money the default rail. That perimeter is not closing everywhere, though. Bangladesh handed a telecoms group a full banking licence this week, and Kenya moved to force banks to open their customer data.

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The institutions setting the terms for tokenised and artificial-intelligence-native finance this week were not the challengers. They were the incumbents and their regulators, each moving on a timetable of its own choosing rather than the market's. A central bank launched settlement infrastructure it built itself. Two American regulators said they would write crypto rules without Congress. A neobank opened a stablecoin-linked US account before its banking charter had cleared. None of this waited for consensus, and banks that are still waiting for one are already behind.

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We think this week shows that banking's fastest-growing frontier is now regulatory access, not invention. Crypto-native start-ups and global consumer banks alike are being handed the same full charters, licences and central bank rails that incumbents spent a century building, while the underlying technology itself is not new. What has changed is that supervisors are now willing to stamp it, and banks that treated tokenisation and stablecoins as someone else's experiment are discovering the licensing queue has a limit.

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Hong Kong’s leading banks accelerated median pre-tax profit growth to 16.3% year on year (YOY) in the first half of 2026 (1H2026). HSBC Hong Kong (including Hang Seng Bank) continued to lead the large-scale bank segment in earnings scale and returns, while DBS Hong Kong and CMB Wing Lung Bank delivered stronger growth momentum and profitability among mid-sized banks. Across the sector, growth was increasingly supported by fee-based businesses, wealth management, cross-border activity and digitally-enabled customer engagement, which emerged as key drivers of revenue expansion.

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